http://iaindale.com/posts/2014/12/29/general-election-predictions-the-complete-list
If you have not followed Iain predictions and are interested in the outcomes of the General Election then this is fascinating reading - an area by area study of the 650 battles that will occur in April / May. Iain is the first to admit he may not have got everything right, but it is fascinating. The methodology and the approach is explained in more detail here:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/britains-political-landscape-a-commentator-who-accurately-predicted-the-european-election-results-has-been-reading-the-runes-again-as-the-general-election-approaches-9985761.html
Two things are clear:
- On this basis Miliband is definitely PM.
- And we in Northumberland are in the heart of the struggle. aside from my struggle in Hexham, three of the projected swing seats are our neighbours = Berwick upon Tweed, the Scottish Border seat of Roxburgh, Berwickshire and Selkirk, and Carlisle in Cumbria. I shall be campaigning in all 3 along with Hexham over the next 4 months. If you want to get involved drop me an email or call the office.
